The massive unintended stimulus from rate hikes and QT

During this past week, while seeing clients in Europe, I had a revelation. It was one of those “lightbulb above the head” moments where I thought to myself, “How could I have not seen this before??” It kept me up quite late for a couple of nights as I worked through...

The retaliation pivot

Last week, Jay took what I would call a mini victory lap. It was not some sort of politically pressured Burnsian policy pivot forced on him by the administration or Congress. Rather, it was a subtle, but aggressive, premeditated attack on all those demand-side...
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